93.8% of a Cross-Asset Signal's Gross Edge Was Consumed by Execution Costs
A controlled falsification study of a cross-asset ranking signal that looked statistically useful before market frictions were introduced.
Read research note ↗Archive / RN-001 to RN-005
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A controlled falsification study of a cross-asset ranking signal that looked statistically useful before market frictions were introduced.
Read research note ↗Recovering the provenance of a historical spread field, reproducing it from the original source, then testing what survives a provider change.
Read research note ↗A three-hour source offset could be corrected. The spread structure still did not transfer. This distinction matters.
Read research note ↗A research protocol for freezing model evidence without silently turning already-seen observations into prospective proof.
Read research note ↗Why a prediction metric, an executable decision and realized PnL are different objects-and why missing fill data breaks the chain.
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